A 48-hour live trading experiment on Polymarket compares the profitability of a Claude-based bot ver

we gave two bots $1,000 each and released them on Polymarket

one is built on Claude, the second - OpenClaw

both connected to the official polymarket api + both see the same markets + the same events. the same prices

demo mode + real logic + 48 hours + we didnt interfere

→ claude opened its first position 4 minutes after the start
→ openclaw analyzed for 22 minutes. then placed a bet

end of day one: 

> claude +$340 
> openclaw -$87

we asked ourselves: maybe just luck?

day two

→ openclaw went more aggressive. increased position sizes. tried to recover
→ claude changed nothing. same logic. same size. same pace

final result 48 hours:

> claude +$612
> openclaw -$231

what killed openclaw?

it traded emotionally + tried to recover losses + changed strategy on the fly

claude traded like a machine. because it is a machine

now moving to real capital

stay tuned, it's going to get interesting